In 16% of all homes with a stay-at-home parent, the father is the stay-at-home parent (Pew Research, June 5, 2014). An independent research firm has been charged with conducting a sample survey to obtain more current information.

Required:
a. What sample size is needed if the research firm's goal is to estimate the current proportion of homes with a stay-at-home parent in which the father is the stay-at-home parent with a margin of error of 0.03 (round up to the next whole number).
b. Repeat part (a) using a 99% confidence level (round up to the next whole number).

Respuesta :

Answer:

a)

[tex]n = (\frac{z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03})^2[/tex], in which z is related to the confidence level.

b) A sample size of 991 is needed.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error is:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In 16% of all homes with a stay-at-home parent, the father is the stay-at-home parent

This means that [tex]\pi = 0.16[/tex]

a. What sample size is needed if the research firm's goal is to estimate the current proportion of homes with a stay-at-home parent in which the father is the stay-at-home parent with a margin of error of 0.03 (round up to the next whole number).

This is n for which [tex]M = 0.03[/tex]. So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03 = z\sqrt{\frac{0.16*0.84}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03\sqrt{n} = z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^2 = (\frac{z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03})^2[/tex]

[tex]n = (\frac{z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03})^2[/tex], in which z is related to the confidence level.

Question b:

99% confidence level,

So [tex]\alpha = 0.01[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.01}{2} = 0.995[/tex], so [tex]Z = 2.575[/tex].

[tex]n = (\frac{z\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03})^2[/tex]

[tex]n = (\frac{2.575\sqrt{0.16*0.84}}{0.03})^2[/tex]

[tex]n = 990.2[/tex]

Rounding up

A sample size of 991 is needed.