Answer:
$95,000
Explanation:
We are to Consider a risky portfolio, that at the end-of-year cash flow derived from the portfolio will be either $50,000 or $140,000, with equal probabilities of 0.5.
That means;
the portfolio may generate either $50,000 or $140,000
Let the cash flow in the scenario 1 = $50,000
Let the cash flow in the scenario 2 = $140,000
For both scenario; the probability is the same = 0.5
The amount that the investor will be willing to pay for the portfolio is the (Expected cash from portfolio) which can be calculated as follows:
Expected cash from portfolio = [tex]CF_{S1} *p_{(s_1)}+CF_{S2}*p_{(s_2)}[/tex]
where:
[tex]CF_{S1}[/tex] = Expected cash flow at the end of year in scenario 1 = $50,000
[tex]CF_{S2}[/tex] = Expected cash flow at the end of year in scenario 2 = $140,000
[tex]p_{(s_1)}[/tex] = probability of occurrence of scenario 1 = 0.5
[tex]p_{(s_2)}[/tex] = probability of occurrence of scenario 2 = 0,5
NOW;
Expected cash from portfolio = ($50,000× 0.5)+ ($140,000×0.5)
Expected cash from portfolio = $25,000 + $70,000
Expected cash from portfolio = $95,000
Thus, as an investor, I will be willing to pay $95,000 for the portfolio.