Steel rods are manufactured with a mean length of 29 centimeter​(cm). Because of variability in the manufacturing​ process, the lengths of the rods are approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation of 0.07 cm. Complete parts ​(a) to (d)

​(a) What proportion of rods has a length less than 28.9 cm?

(b) Any rods that are shorter than 28.84 cm or longer than 29.16 cm are discarded. What proportion of rods will be​ discarded?

​(c) Using the results of part (b)​ if 5000 rods are manufactured in a​ day, how many should the plant manager expect to​ discard?

(d) If an order comes in for 10,000 steel​ rods, how many rods should the plant manager expect to manufacture if the order states that all rods must be between

28.9 cm and 29.1 ​cm?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) [tex] P(X<28.9) = P(Z<\frac{28.9-29}{0.07}) = P(Z<-1.429) = 0.0765[/tex]

b) [tex] P(\frac{28.84-29}{0.07} < Z<\frac{29.16-29}{0.07}) = P(-2.286< Z<2.286)=0.989-0.0111= 0.9779 [/tex]

So then the proportion of discarded would be 1-0.9779 =0.0221 or 2.21 %

c) For this case since we have a total of 5000 and we know that the proportion of discarded steel rods is 0.0221 we can find the number of discarded like this:

[tex] n = 0.0221*5000= 110.5 \approx 111[/tex]

d) Now we calculate the new probability of no discard like this:

[tex] P(\frac{28.9-29}{0.07} < Z<\frac{29.1-29}{0.07}) = P(-1.429< Z<1.429)=0.923-0.0765= 0.847[/tex]

So the new proportion of discard rods is 1-0.847 = 0.153

And the number of NO discarded from a batch of 10000 would be:

[tex] n = 10000*0.847 = 8470[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Part a

Let X the random variable that represent the length of steel rods of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(29,0.07)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=29[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=0.07[/tex]

And we want to find this probability:

[tex] P(X<28.9)[/tex]

And we can use the z score formula given by:

[tex] z= \frac{a-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

And if we use this formula and the normal standard distribution or excel we got:

[tex] P(X<28.9) = P(Z<\frac{28.9-29}{0.07}) = P(Z<-1.429) = 0.0765[/tex]

Part b

For this case we can find the probability that the rods would be not discarded calculating this:

[tex] P(28.84 < X< 29.16)[/tex]

Using again the z score we got:

[tex] P(\frac{28.84-29}{0.07} < Z<\frac{29.16-29}{0.07}) = P(-2.286< Z<2.286)=0.989-0.0111= 0.9779 [/tex]

So then the proportion of discarded would be 1-0.9779 =0.0221 or 2.21 %

Part c

For this case since we have a total of 5000 and we know that the proportion of discarded steel rods is 0.0221 we can find the number of discarded like this:

[tex] n = 0.0221*5000= 110.5 \approx 111[/tex]

Part d

Now we calculate the new probability of no discard like this:

[tex] P(\frac{28.9-29}{0.07} < Z<\frac{29.1-29}{0.07}) = P(-1.429< Z<1.429)=0.923-0.0765= 0.847[/tex]

So the new proportion of discard rods is 1-0.847 = 0.153

And the number of NO discarded from a batch of 10000 would be:

[tex] n = 10000*0.847 = 8470[/tex]

The probability shows that the proportion of rods has a length of less than 28.9 cm is 0.0475.

How to calculate the probability?

The proportion of rods has a length less than 28.9 cm will be:

=  P(x<28.9) = P(z<28.9-29/0.06)

= P(z<-1.67)

= 0.0475

The proportion of rods that will be​ discarded will be:

= P(x<28.87 or 29.13<x)

= P(-2.167<z or z<2.167)

= 0.0302

Also, the expected value will be:

=0.0302 × 5000

= 151

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